Training Manual on the Assessment and Dissemination of MDG ...

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Training Manual on the Assessment and Dissemination of MDG Indicators  
(GUIDE TO THE ASSESSMENT AND DISSEMINATION OF THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS INDICATORS)1 

1 Paper presented at the 2007  INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS STATISTICS (ICMDGS), EDSA Shangrila Hotel, Philippines,October 1-2, 2007 

Lisa Grace S. Bersales, Ph.D.

Professor of Statistics and Dean

University of the Philippines School of Statistics

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

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Outline of Presentation 

Background Objectives of the Manual Target Participants Pre-requisites Teaching Methods Modules  
 
 
 
 
 
 

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Background 

In February 2006, the University of the Philippines Statistical Center Research Foundation Inc.(UPSCRFI),the research foundation of the School of Statistics of the UP School of Statistics, started the project of writing a training manual on the MDGs for the National Statistical Coordination Board (NSCB)  
 
 
 
 
 
 

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Background 

This was under the NSCB UNDP-assisted project entitled 00/font>Statistical Capacity Building for Upgrading Statistical Capacities of the MDG Data Sources and Stakeholders to Generate, Validate and Update MDG Indicators at the National and Local Levels 00Phase 100/font>,  
 
 
 
 
 
 

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Background 

The authors were Dr. Lisa Grace S. Bersales, Dr. Erniel B. Barrios, and Prof. Josefina V. Almeda of the UP School of Statistics The training manual is entitled A Guide to the Assessment and Dissemination of the Millennium Development Goals Indicators Its pilot draft was finished in October 2006 It is scheduled for pilot testing in the regions  
 
 
 
 
 
 

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Objectives of the Manual 

To strengthen the capacity of data source agencies in the regular monitoring, maintenance, reporting and dissemination of the MDG Indicators; To provide illustrations on how stakeholders could use MDG indicators in the formulation of policies and determination of interventions in support of meeting the MDGs; and, To assist in the efforts of the Philippine Statistical System in improving statistics it produces for monitoring the achievement of the MDGs.  
 
 
 
 
 
 

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Target Participants 

Technical staff from data source agencies responsible for the data inputs to the MDG indicators (NSCB, NSO, BSP, BAS, CHED, DepEd, DSWD, DOH,etc) Planning officers of agencies responsible for developing programs to achieve the MDGs (NEDA, planning staff of line agencies and local government units)  
 
 
 
 
 
 

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Prerequisites for the Training 

The modules are ordered such that the previous module is a prerequisite to the next. For Module 1, the prerequisite is knowledge of Excel and an editor such as WORD.  
 
 
 
 
 
 

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Teaching Methods 

Lectures/Discussions Case studies Computer hands-on sessions Group workshops and presentations  
 
 
 
 
 
 

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Modules of the Training Manual 

To discuss the importance of proper dissemination and forms of dissemination for advocacy of use of the MDG Indicators. 

Dissemination and Advocacy 

Module 5 

To provide illustrations of the use of MDG Indicators for policy formulation and determination of interventions to achieve the MDGs. 

MDG Indicators for Policy Analysis and Interventions 

Module 4 

To discuss the importance and the procedures for maintaining and updating the metadata for the MDG Indicators.  

Maintenance and Updating the MDG Metadata 

Module 3 

To discuss and practice appropriate statistical tools of effectively presenting the indicators. 

Effective Ways of Analyzing and Presenting the MDG Indicators 

Module 2 

To present the MDGs and the MDG indicators-their measurement, data requirements, data sources and their topics related to computing for them. 

Introduction to the Millennium Development Goals and their Indicators 

Module 1 

Objective 

Module 

Module Number

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

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Topics 

MODULE 1 :   Introduction to the Millennium Development Goals and their Indicators

   1.1 Overview of The Millennium Development Goals 

   1.2 The MDG Indicators                                                                                      1.3 Metadata on the MDG Indicators                                                                1.4 Latest Millennium Development Goals Indicators of the Philippines

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

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GOAL 1. Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger 

FNRI

FNRI 

1990, 1992, 1993, 1996, 1998,2001 and 2003

1993 and 2003 

Prevalence of underweight children under five years of age Proportion of households with per capita energy less than 100% adequacy  
Prevalence of underweight children under five years of age Proportion of population below minimum level of dietary energy consumption  

2. Halve between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people who suffer from hunger. 

NSCB

NSCB

NSO 

1991, 1994, 1997,2000 and 2003

1991, 1994, 1997,2000 and 2003

1991, 1994,1997 and 2000,2002, 2003 (computed using FIES results) 

Proportion of population below the national poverty line. Poverty gap ratio (incidence x depth of poverty) Share of poorest quintile in national consumption  
a. Proportion of population below $1 (PPP) per day

     b. Poverty headcount ratio(% of population below the poverty line)

Poverty gap ratio (incidence x depth of poverty) Share of poorest quintile in national consumption  

1. Halve between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people whose income is less than $1 a day.  
 
 
 

SOURCE 

YEARS FOR WHICH DATA ARE AVAILABLE 

PHILIPPINE INDICATORS 

UN INDICATORS 
 

TARGETS 

Example of a Table Presenting the MDGs in Section 1.2

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

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Proportion of Population Below the National Poverty Line 

Definition. The Proportion of population below the national poverty line . 

Goal Addressed. Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger (GOAL 1). 

Target Addressed. Halve , between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people whose income is less than a dollar a day (TARGET 1).  

Baseline for the Philippines: 45.3% in 1991 

Target for the Philippines: 22.7% in 2015 

Rationale: 00he indicator allows for comparing and  aggregating progress across countries in reducing the number or people living under extreme poverty and for monitoring trends at the global level.00 

Data Collection and Source: NSCB  

Periodicity of Measurement: every three years( 1991, 1994, 1997,2000 and 2003 ) 
 

Example of Presenting Metadata in Section 1.3

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

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Goal 1: ERADICATE EXTREME POVERTY AND HUNGER

PROPORTION OF POPULATION BELOW NATIONAL POVERTY LINE  

30.4  

2003  

33.0 

2000  

33.0  

1997  

40.6  

1994  

45.3  

1991  

Proportion (%)  
 

Year 

Source:  National Statistical Coordination Board (NSCB)

1991 and 1994-Based on old poverty methodology which uses region-base menus, special rice, regional prices and changing FE/TBE ratio. Data are disaggregated by region.

1997-2003 - Based on newly approved provincial poverty methodology which uses region-base menus, provincial prices, ordinary rice and changing FE/TBE ratio. Data are disaggregated by province.  

Example of Latest MDG indicator in Section 1.4

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

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TOPICS 

MODULE 2 :   Effective Ways Of Analyzing and Presenting the MDG Indicators

2.1 Presentation of Data

2.2 Measures of Central Tendency

2.3 Measures of Location

2.4 Measures of Dispersion

2.5 Measures of Skewness

2.6 Rates, Ratios, Proportions, & Percentages

2.7 DevInfo

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

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TOPICS 

Module 3:Maintenance and Updating of MDG Metadata

3.1 Monitoring and Evaluation of MDG Indicators

3.2 Data Gaps in MDG Indicators

3.3 Data Quality of MDG Indicators

3.4 Documentation of Changes in Metadata

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

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Monitoring and Evaluation of MDG Indicators  

Monitoring and Evaluation of MDG Indicators 

         Purpose of M&E of MDG Indicators

         Framework of M&E MDG Indicators

         Case Study

Data Gaps in MDG Indicators    

         Why data gaps occur?

         Imputation Procedures

              Linear Interpolation

              Linear Prediction

              Calibration

              Time Series Extrapolation 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

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Documentation of Changes in Metadata 

Changes in Definition and Concepts  

        Consistency of Time Series

        Adjustment and Comparability of Indicator

        Case Study

Changes in Reference Period                                                             

        Length of Reference Period

        Comparability of Data Across Time

             Indexing

             Deflating Data

       Case Study

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

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Documentation of Changes in Metadata 

Changes in Data Collection                                                                

             Consequences of Changes in Sampling Designs

             Consequences of Changes in Sample Size

             Consequences of Changes in Frequency of Data Collection

             Case Study

Institutional Arrangements on Updating Indicators                               
 
 
 
 
 
 

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TOPICS 

Module 4:MDG Indicators for Policy Analysis and Interventions

4.1 Indicators and Measurement Issue

4.2 Analysis and Interpreting Results

4.3 Linking MDS and The National Development Plans

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

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Indicators and Measurement Issues 

What is an Indicator    

    Qualities of Good Indicator

    Measurement and Assessment of Indicators 

Analyzing and Interpreting Results   

          Some Theoretical Insights  on Policy Analysis

          Steps in Policy Analysis

          Framework Development

          Strategies in Intervention Planning

          Financing the MDG

          Case Studies      

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

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Analysis and Interpreting Results 

What is Policy Analysis 

Steps in Policy Analysis Framework Development Strategies in Intervention Planning Financing the MDG Case Studies        
 
 
 
 
 
 

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Topics 

MODULE 5:Dissemination and Advocacy

5.1 Forms of Dissemination of Updates on Performance towards the MDGs

5.2 Writing the Communication

5.3 The Progress Report

5.4 The Executive Summary

5.5 The Policy Brief

5.6 Powerpoint Presentations

5.7 The Roles of The Philippine  Statistical  System and its Partners in Updating, Monitoring, and in Advocacy of the MDGs

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

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Appendices 
 

Appendix 1  Design for a Training on Millennium Development Goals Indicators

Appendix 2  NSCB Assessment of MDG Indicators

Appendix 3 Examples of the different forms of dissemination for advocacy

Appendix 4 Exercises for MODULE 2

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

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Thank you very much!

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